Smart Sports Betting

To receive a stable profit is the desire of all the players of bookmakers. Various strategies and algorithms have been devised to achieve this goal. Consider the techniques that professional bettors use. The article contains practical examples of the application of strategies. With their help, you can not only increase your chances when playing bookmakers, but also take as a basis for building your own methods.

Strategies from professionals

Consider how professional players make smart sports bets.

Line movement

Experienced bettors study the dynamics of quotes before making each bet. This allows you to find overestimated odds – value outcomes. The sharp change in quotes is due to two factors:

Received information that could affect the outcome of the match. For example, one of the leading players was injured in training. The odds for his team have gone up.
Loads are situations in which many users begin to bet on the same outcome. In such cases, bookmakers shift quotes to motivate users to bet on the opposite.
If the change in quotes is associated with a load, then this is the value. Betting on events with high odds over the long run provides a stable profit.

What club does the player currently play for?

There is in football. This is the expected goals pattern. Each shot is assigned a coefficient that reflects the level of its proximity to the goal scored. The result is something like an alternative account. If you take this indicator as the basis of the analysis, you can find teams that have scored more or less than they should have.

At a distance (scored points and goal difference) tend to the expected average values. Based on this, a smart football betting strategy was invented. It implies a bet on an individual total over (ITB) or the victory of teams that did not make it. Works in reverse as well. In case of defeat, the bet amount increases.


Game ahead of the curve

There are thousands of matches in live bookmakers. Scouts are usually present at top tournaments and live video broadcasts are conducted. However, it is not always possible to track all events promptly. Therefore, sometimes quotes change with a slight delay. For example, a goal is scored in a football match, but information about it comes in 5-10 seconds. Until this time, the line will not take into account what happened.

If you attend the game live, the user may have time to make a bet before the quotes change. However, this has its own nuances:

  • As online betting develops, the number of delayed matches decreases. Many bookmakers specifically hire scouts from those cities where little-known events will take place.
  • Legal bookmakers use a common information base. Therefore, they have no delays.
  • Bookmakers can cancel winnings on a bet made ahead of time. The rules of any bookmaker say that the company reserves the right to cancel the winnings if a violation is suspected. In some cases, the bookmaker may even block the account.
  • In all bookmakers, bets are accepted with a slight delay, on average 3 seconds. To have time to make a bet ahead of time, you need to react instantly. The player will have no more than a couple of seconds at his disposal.

It is still possible to bet ahead of time. Naturally, only for tournaments of a very low level. The scheme is dubious, but for general development it can be studied.